You read the game.
We run the position.
Live win-prob vs the Kalshi line — the call + the math, never a pick.
Solver Decision
We manage your position; you pick the battle. The call + the math — never a pick.
We manage your position; you pick the battle. Position-management call with the math shown — never a pick. p_fair is our precise WP model; market is the live Kalshi mid, with the bid/ask spread + fees folded into the executability check.
What is the Solver?
A position-management tool for sports prediction markets. You bring the read; it prices your spot against a calibrated win-probability model and the live Kalshi line, then tells you what to do with the position — hold, add, cut, or take profit — with the math shown.
Analytics and education, never a pick. We manage the position; you pick the battle.
How it works
The Solver is a position-management and education tool. It shows the math on a position you choose — it does not make picks, give financial advice, or place trades. AoA is not a brokerage, exchange, or financial advisor. Past model performance does not predict future results. You must be 18+ to participate. See our Terms, Privacy Policy, and Competition Rules.